Winter Storm Potential Late Friday-Saturday

I know it’s not what you want to hear.

October-December snow is festive.

January-February snow is tolerable.

Snow beyond March 1st becomes annoying.

And I get that “we live here, what do you expect?” or the typical “move if you don’t like the weather”…but there are more reasons to live somewhere other than the weather (like friends, family, things to do) so that should give us a reason to complain all we want in March! Right?

The setup for our next storm is an area of low pressure that will slide south and east along an axis of warmer air to the southwest and our cooler air to the northeast. Precip will develop and spread mainly along and north of this low (almost like a clipper system) and that precip will likely be a wintry mix or all snow…and a heavy, wet snow at that! I’m expecting clouds to increase Friday with any impacts from this potential storm Friday night through Saturday. The storm will exit down to the south by Saturday evening.

So, an early look at our next storm system shows a similar scenario with most of the models. I’ve attached a side-by-side comparison of 3 computer models and where they are painting the snow, mix, and rain at 930pm Friday, 630am Saturday, and 9pm Saturday night.

Here’s 930pm Friday:

(click image to enlarge)

6am Saturday:

(click image to enlarge)

930pm Saturday evening:

(click image to enlarge)

And here are the resulting models forecasts for snow accumulation:

(click image to enlarge)

As with most storm systems, a few key details will fluctuate over the next few days.

1. The exact track of the low pressure

2. The exact amount of moisture that gets pulled into the low

3. The exact temperatures when the moisture arrives.

All of these things, especially the track of the low, will fluctuate and could leave us with a decent amount of snowfall, a light amount of snowfall, or no snow at all. To give you an exact accumulation forecast this far out would be irresponsible–but the potential for several inches of snow Friday night into Saturday is certainly there!

Will keep you updated on the latest right here and on Facebook!

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